re: Perfect Storm of Terrorism, Oil Spike, Market Hit with Hurricanes and an Earthquake! (Part 1)
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Through a variety of intuitive signals and logical circumstances intuitively interpreted, I see a perfect storm of terrorism, oil spike and market hit with hurricanes and an earthquake getting ready now to happen about June or July of this year, 2005.
Oil continues to rise toward June, the beginning of the summer driving season, close to $60. A cell of the Jihad does a terrorist strike on a significant oil refinery in an OPEC-related country such as Qatar. Both the exaggerated impact on oil-production but more significantly the fear of any future impact causes oil to go to close to $75, resulting in about $3 a gallon gas in US. The stock markets of course will immediately take a quick hit down which will be a huge buying opportunity after the huge buying opportunity of shorting beforehand if you are ready, appropriately to risk.
Immediately alternative energy sources get attention and action in development such as hydrogen and solar and even geomass and nuclear. Also personal retirement accounts will be now be approved as an additional way to quickly prop up the markets with the additional capital or more importantly the potential of more additional capital. Of course this all will increase the attention and seriousness that terrorism protection is given in the US and other countries especially about energy sources and transportation, communications and food and medicine supplies.
Why? On a physical and emotional level, the Jihad and Bin Laden, small radical factions of hate (not Islam), have always been against capitalism, not America per se. They believe capitalism which America just happens to be the world symbol of is doing irreparable harm to the fundamentals of Islam, more esoterically all religion. To them the spreading of democracy combined with global telecommunications is like a virus planting seeds of destruction in the form of shopping malls (greed) and discotheques (sex). They see shopping replacing the God of Islam (idolatry) with the god of commerce and dancing to western music replacing traditional forms of courtship with loose sex.
At the same time, I see another bizarre hurricane season originating from the Bermuda Triangle culminating in two or three devastating hurricanes in Florida and the Carolinas. There also seems to be an 8.0+ earthquake from northern Oregon down to northern California. These seem to add to an already alarming economic hit. The US seems spooked and so the world feels the ripple effects of that in different ways. This increases blame on the US but also maybe more support for the US and what it stands for.
Private accounts are ushered in quickly to provide if not true immediate economic stimulus, the promise of it. Significant economic aid is given to those regions and economic stimulus is provided for energy exploration and production. Fuel efficiency in current oil burning automobiles starts to be implemented, oil reserves and exploration is tapped and alternative energy sources such as hydrogen, solar, geomass and nuclear are put on the front burner with governmental support. A coalition of western allied countries with OPEC is formed to provide better safety to the oil production and transportation and this is applied other energy production and transportation.
This is a great example of when Spirit allows something seemingly negative to happen that has far more positive benefits. While the immediate affects will be terrible, which is never self-deserved by those who experience it but just as with the Tsunami disaster, the world will come together first in collective benevolence and aid and the second in long-term change for better balance in safety and global energy production and management.
Remember if this happens and I pray it doesn't or at least not as severe, that there are three important things that we may want to discern from this to benefit the most. I will use the markets as an example to share this not because that is the best way to benefit from these potential events but because it is one of the best examples being black/white and objectively observable.
First, that this is simply change however you chose to look at it positively or negatively. Positive and negative are our interpretations of the experience. Using our example, more millionaires are made in less time in down markets than in up markets because shorting the market (it's just a direction) can have a lot more leverage when everyone is trying to sell to get out than buying marginally when it is going up when everyone else is buying on income-averaging to get in. A down market is just the direction it is going, not that it is a bad market. There are only bad investments to be in at that time.
Second, far more damage is done by our reaction to situations than the situations itself. Again using the market as our example, most people do the worst damage to their investments by selling into a down market more than they would than by simply holding onto their investments until the markets go back up. For most investors the buy-and-hold strategy always fairs better than any attempt at market timing. Some say a seasoned investor is someone who went through a down market without panic selling. Whatever you want to do in panic selling was the preparation that was best to be done before any down market but now is too late and the worst thing to do.
Third, hopefully this will be a mild reminder of what we need to do to be better prepared for any potentially worse crisis in the future. While some say that another terrorist attack is a matter of when not if, others suggest that we are precariously close to an economic disaster and even a few warn that a biochemical attack of small pox could be cataclysmic. Do we wait for any of that or even worse scenarios to happen or do we overcompensate with panic preparations? There is a reasonable approach to take. Going back to our market examples, if all of our investments are contingent on an up-market, then rather than take all of our investments out of the market, we can have a reasonably balanced share invested for a down-move which can cost simply a small share of up-profits.
(to be continued in Part 2 - How to Best Prepare Spiritually and Financially)
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